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Post by baseba1111 on Mar 1, 2018 10:34:40 GMT -8
As much as I'd like to be optimistic it's hard to argue with beavadelic's reasoning. Except using logic on predicting a future season, especially a BEAVER season, is often a fool's errand. |
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Post by ag87 on Mar 19, 2018 17:02:04 GMT -8
No more orange colored glasses for me.....we'll be short a minimum 3 wins from bowling....I see 2/3 wins next year with SUU being the only gimme maybe JS can right this boat in 19' or 20' and maybe not. Me either. I definitely will refrain from making predictions that are “best-case” scenario in nature. I have been less out there with my orange-colored glasses analysis the past few years anyway, but I did believe that we were trending in the right direction leading in to last season. I should have learned long ago not to confuse wishful thinking with reality. CGA was so unstable throughout his tenure here - waffling and bouncing around with personnel and systems - that it should have been more apparent to me that we would continue spinning wheels. A decent coach is going to steal a road win at some point in 2 1/2 seasons, even if his team isn’t particularly talented in relation to the competition. I will say that the Southern Utah game is the one and only sure deal. That should go without saying. I don’t want to hear Riley-haters chirping about Sac St or whatever in response. The crappy games we played against weaker teams seldom defined us because in the same seasons we ended up beating legit opponents. USU is not a legit opponent, unless we don’t have 10 D-1 kids on our roster. As much as I’m not delusional about the Beavs having a roster full of PAC 12 caliber athletes, I guarantee that our top 22 are much better than USU’s.....and the game’s at home. After that game, all bets are off. As for Nevada, WSU and Cal being wins, I’m not sure what to think. Nevada is on the road - hello massive road losing streak. WSU and Cal? I know they lose some people and are at Reser, but they both mashed us last year. We might have a better chance on the road at Colorado...but that’s a ROAD game. I agree that Ohio St., USC, Stanford and UW are out of our league. We get 2 of them in Corvallis, but the talent gap and losing tendencies recently make them more than unlikely to trip up against us. The toss-up games against the Arizona’schools and oregon would also seem to be a tall order. While the ‘cats athletic department is a shambles right now, and I’m not sure how well-coached the ducks will be, and we are playing them in Reser, we will be physically overmatched. ASU has wacky Herm Edwards, but we play in Tempe and he may be so crazy that it works for a while. I expect that simply because of a much better and more cohesive staff - which will translate to a much healthier team psyche and unity - we could win 3-4 games and maybe be competitive in 2 or 3 others in the first year. JS and his staff inherited a colossal hot mess, and a total of 2 or 3 wins will not be a bad reflection upon them in year 1. I will be happy with a competitive team that plays together and is fundamentally sound, and look forward to building off this. Anything beyond 3 wins will be gravy for me next season. I'm agreeing also. But I don't think it's impossible for OSU to win 6 games. Yes, four or five are gravy but I'd say there is a 10% chance they get to six. For the most part our players are not worse than any others in the bottom half of the Pac-12. I think we have a Pac-12 qb if given a system that fits his skill set. I believe the biggest hurdle will be overcoming the emotional sh!tstorm inflicted upon them by the last staff. That's probably a two or three year job but it doesn't have to be. It's not like asking a commuter school in Maryland to take down a #1. |
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Post by Henry Skrimshander on Mar 19, 2018 18:32:07 GMT -8
I'll never take off my orange-colored glasses and will continue to remain as optimistic as possible.
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