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Post by treasurevalleybeav on Mar 4, 2024 9:49:53 GMT -8
Despite playing the now #2 Stanford Cardinal down to the wire w/o our best player, we actually dropped two slots to #13 in the polls. (Yeah that totally makes sense). Indiana moves ahead of us despite their best player being injured and the fact they lost to Stanford by 32 earlier this season.
Bracketology on ESPN still has us as a 3 seed and therefore hosting the first two rounds, so that's always a plus.
And on a side note: Congrats to the 26-1 Fairfield Stags making the polls for the first time ever. Only loss was by 3 at Vandy who's also projected to be in the field.
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Post by wbosh15 on Mar 4, 2024 10:01:36 GMT -8
Despite playing the now #2 Stanford Cardinal down to the wire w/o our best player, we actually dropped two slots to #13 in the polls. (Yeah that totally makes sense). Indiana moves ahead of us despite their best player being injured and the fact they lost to Stanford by 32 earlier this season. Bracketology on ESPN still has us as a 3 seed and therefore hosting the first two rounds, so that's always a plus. And on a side note: Congrats to the 26-1 Fairfield Stags making the polls for the first time ever. Only loss was by 3 at Vandy who's also projected to be in the field. The real tough issue currently is getting into the Portland regionals, which at this point looks very unlikely. Because Stan/UCLA are projected as 1 seeds, they naturally get to stay on the west coast. However, this means NO other Pac-12 teams can be top 4 seeds in their regional, UNLESS they are the 5th team from the conference to earn a top 4 seeds. With Colorado's collapse they are now the 5th team from the Pac. Perhaps the committee would fudge with the seeds and rate Colorado above us, but currently with us a 3 seed and Colorado a 4, not sure how that could happen. |
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Post by rgeorge on Mar 4, 2024 10:20:23 GMT -8
Despite playing the now #2 Stanford Cardinal down to the wire w/o our best player, we actually dropped two slots to #13 in the polls. (Yeah that totally makes sense). Indiana moves ahead of us despite their best player being injured and the fact they lost to Stanford by 32 earlier this season. Bracketology on ESPN still has us as a 3 seed and therefore hosting the first two rounds, so that's always a plus. And on a side note: Congrats to the 26-1 Fairfield Stags making the polls for the first time ever. Only loss was by 3 at Vandy who's also projected to be in the field. The real tough issue currently is getting into the Portland regionals, which at this point looks very unlikely. Because Stan/UCLA are projected as 1 seeds, they naturally get to stay on the west coast. However, this means NO other Pac-12 teams can be top 4 seeds in their regional, UNLESS they are the 5th team from the conference to earn a top 4 seeds. With Colorado's collapse they are now the 5th team from the Pac. Perhaps the committee would fudge with the seeds and rate Colorado above us, but currently with us a 3 seed and Colorado a 4, not sure how that could happen. It could happen depending on the weight given to the conference tournament... OSU plays Colorado in the 2nd round. I guess IF the Buffs routed OSU in that game they could jump OSU? Or at least be co-4 seeds?? |
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Post by treasurevalleybeav on Mar 4, 2024 10:22:04 GMT -8
Interesting issues. Assuming Beers doesn't get hurt again, is there really any scenario where we'd drop out of the top 16 and lose hosting rights?
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Post by rgeorge on Mar 4, 2024 10:31:08 GMT -8
Interesting issues. Assuming Beers doesn't get hurt again, is there really any scenario where we'd drop out of the top 16 and lose hosting rights? The issue is two-fold... OSU's tourney play and what other teams do. The rankings might not mirror the committee seeds. At #13 OSU is the top 4 seed. But, if the other 4 seeds and a couple 5 seeds play deep into or win a conference tourney and OSU falls in game 1 a ton of movement could happen. It could be bad news, good news (more bad than good)... dropping to a 5 could mean PDX, but no hosting the first two games?? The Colorado game is the game I wanted least in that 2nd round. Nothing to do with the false narrative of beating a team 3 times, but the style of play on a neutral court. Officiating typically allows more physical play and that favors a team like Colorado. Add their extra incentive and having played a game already... personally I'd hoped for any of the other 7 to finish 5th! |
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Post by scottybooks on Mar 4, 2024 10:36:11 GMT -8
Can we be Duck fans, Wednesday only?
I know. Never.
But...
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Post by rmancarl on Mar 4, 2024 11:09:52 GMT -8
This is the latest NCAA Committe ranking, through games of February 29th (after the Beavers loss to Stanford). Since then, V-Tech lost to Virginia but that wouldn't change the Beavs rankings. #13 Colorado lost to Washington State and #16 Oklahoma lost to Kansas, so the Beavs will stay ahead of them. Other ranked teams behind the Beavs that lost last weekend were Louisville and Utah, so neither of them will move up. With that in mind, the Beavs are likely sitting good for the top 16 even with a loss to Colorado, but that could make things iffy. Every team that plays in a conference tournament will be getting a loss this week except for the teams that win their conference tournament. www.ncaa.com/rankings/basketball-women/d1/top-16-committee-ranking |
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Post by bvrbooster on Mar 4, 2024 11:19:30 GMT -8
Interesting issues. Assuming Beers doesn't get hurt again, is there really any scenario where we'd drop out of the top 16 and lose hosting rights? Sure. If we lose our first game in Vegas, and a couple of teams not currently in the top 16 make deep runs in their conference tournaments, we could drop to a 5 seed. Bear in mind, we've lost one game in each of the last 3 weeks. We're now perceived as slipping, not surging. If, for example, we lose to Colorado, and they then go on to beat Stanford, they could snare our 4 seed even though we beat them twice. Bottom line - win on Thursday and hosting is a lock. |
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Post by treasurevalleybeav on Mar 4, 2024 12:15:17 GMT -8
Interesting issues. Assuming Beers doesn't get hurt again, is there really any scenario where we'd drop out of the top 16 and lose hosting rights? Sure. If we lose our first game in Vegas, and a couple of teams not currently in the top 16 make deep runs in their conference tournaments, we could drop to a 5 seed. Bear in mind, we've lost one game in each of the last 3 weeks. We're now perceived as slipping, not surging. If, for example, we lose to Colorado, and they then go on to beat Stanford, they could snare our 4 seed even though we beat them twice. Bottom line - win on Thursday and hosting is a lock. Definitely agree. Plus some of the teams on the edges of the 16 already lost last week too. So it would likely take a loss by us to the Buffs along w/ a pretty deep run by a few others. |
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Post by rgeorge on Mar 4, 2024 12:31:51 GMT -8
The bad news, common sense doesn't prevail. It's a 12 person NCAA committee. Anything goes, but being in the #1 rated conference will help any close decisions... plus I think Todd Stansbury is still on the committee? Since he's at GTech he can "legally" advocate for OSU.
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beav74
Freshman
Posts: 738
Grad Year: OSU 1974
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Post by beav74 on Mar 4, 2024 12:47:06 GMT -8
Todd Stansbury is no longer at GT
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Post by beaverstever on Mar 4, 2024 14:29:07 GMT -8
Does ticket sales have no impact? Putting OSU in the Portland
Region would be very good for business.
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Post by nwhoopfan on Mar 4, 2024 15:23:18 GMT -8
Yesterday was a costly day. In addition to Mackenzie Holmes being injured for Indiana, Virginia Tech lost Elizabeth Kitley and Iowa lost Molly Davis. Don't know the severity/prognosis for any of them, but having watched the Iowa game I will pretty much guarantee Davis won't return to action. Carried off the floor, couldn't walk. Later returned to the sideline in a wheelchair. Non contact injury with an awkward landing, everything about that says ACL to me.
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Post by beavdowg on Mar 4, 2024 15:53:10 GMT -8
How about The Beavs just win the whole damn Pac-12 tourney?! That'd take care of a lot of things for us, I believe.
Let's Go Beavs!!
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Post by rgeorge on Mar 4, 2024 15:57:03 GMT -8
Does ticket sales have no impact? Putting OSU in the Portland Region would be very good for business. I'm pretty sure ticket sales mean almost zero. Most of the $ are from TV and the vast majority of "good seats" are corporate or VIP packages, and other big wigs. I'm sure they want venues pretty full and loud, but placing OSU in PDX will not be a priority. Unless they and other teams meet the other seeding qualifications in how they bracket Albany and PDX it'll not be real issue. |
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